One-stop digest of politics, economics, and culture. On May 2, 1998, immediately after the Senate ratified NATO expansion, I called George Kennan, the architect of Americas successful containment of the Soviet Union. And he has dined out on it ever since, even though he knows that NATO has no plans to expand to include Ukraine. Russia is trying to encircle Bakhmut and using their best and most well trained and the most experienced troops from the mercenary Wagner group, Ukraines economic adviser Alexander Rodnyansky told CNN on Tuesday. A curated selection of our very best long reads. The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites. That is why Putin is threatening Ukraine and demanding a water-tight commitment from I agree to abide by FPs comment guidelines. But Prigozhin is now targeting top echelons of the defense ministry for criticism while portraying himself as a straightforward nationalist trying to protect Russias honor and his men. Both Finland, which has one of US officials have not confirmed the reports. But experts say he has increasingly been seeking a role as a public figure, even speaking like a politician rather than a private businessman. Usernames may be updated at any time and must not contain inappropriate or offensive language. During Putins first two terms as president from 2000 to 2008 he occasionally grumbled about NATO expansion but did little more. A member of the Ukrainian Army in Luhansk, a territory in eastern Ukraine that Russia has recognized on Monday as independent. And heres our email: letters@nytimes.com. Is Weiss correct? This expansion would make the founding fathers of this country turn over in their graves. The economist discusses what the U.S. gets wrong about Putin and the war in Ukraine. And how might that be impacting the world? That may not sit well with otherssuch as Girkin, a Russian army veteran and former defense minister of the self-proclaimed Donetsk Peoples Republic, who also goes by the alias Igor Ivanovich Strelkov. People at the helm of power could lose the war. Ukraine has sought to join the US-led military alliance for years. So far, theyve held the city, but, if need be, they will strategically pull back because were not going to sacrifice all of our people just for nothing. While the influence industry may have altruistic reasons for representing Ukraine pro-bono, some lobbying firms also have financial incentives for aiding Ukraine: theyve made millions lobbying for arms manufacturers that could profit from the war. NATO allies have not yet granted that to Ukraine and have long appeared uninterested in offering, in part because of political complications with Russia. Putin is the most powerful, unchecked Russian leader since Stalin, and the timing of this war is a product of his ambitions, strategies and grievances. And to both cover and distract from that choice, Putin shifted the basis of his popularity from being the distributor of Russias newfound wealth and an economic reformer to the defender of the motherland, Aron said. Russia denied reports that its weapons landed in Poland. Ever since Washington passed its Inflation Reduction Act, which provides subsidies and investment opportunities for clean energy initiatives, a cShow morehorus of lawmakers in Europe and Asia have begun to say the United States is fostering unfair competition. Munich? But nations that wish to join must meet certain political, economic, and military standards. Of course, none of this justifies Putins dismemberment of Ukraine. Delivered Wednesday. Vladimir Makei, the former foreign minister of the country closely allied with Russia, died in November last year at the age of 64. There were no casualties and destruction on the ground. 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But some of us then thought it was a long shot worth trying, because even a less-than-democratic Russia if it had been included rather than excluded from a new European security order might have had much less interest or incentive in menacing its neighbors. So has Bosnia-Herzegovina, though there is too much domestic division there to make this a realistic prospect in the near future. He has alsocriticized Putins Dec. 9, 2022, claim that the progress of the special military operation was stable. Download the FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. If today or tomorrow no changes in strategy are made, I will be forced to speak with the leadership of the defense ministry and the leadership of the country to explain the real situation on the ground to them, Kadyrov. "What is at issue now is that Ukraine can prevail as a sovereign independent nation.". "Every country should have that right.". And Russias democracy is as far advanced, if not farther, as any of these countries weve just signed up to defend from Russia. I think it is a tragic mistake. "Any European country in a position to further the principles of the Washington Treaty and contribute to security in the Euro-Atlantic area can become a member of the Alliance at the invitation of the North Atlantic Council," according to NATO's website. The prospect of Ukraine and Georgia joining NATO has antagonized Putin at least since President George W. Bush expressed support for the idea in 2008. Lukashenko, who is on a high-profile state visit to China for talks with President Xi Jinping and senior Chinese officials, made his comments during a meeting with the chairman of the standing committee of Chinas National Peoples Congress, Li Zhanshu. The Russian president got many things wrong about invading Ukrainebut not everything. Reuters reports that the Kremlin responded to the statement on Wednesday by saying it did not believe it. We are pursuing the same policy. The Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, also voiced his countrys distress in a Greek-language tweet: .css-cumn2r{height:1em;width:1.5em;margin-right:3px;vertical-align:baseline;fill:#C70000;}The people of Ukraine share the pain of the families of the victims. his public critique, Wagner was sent the ammunition Prigozhin demanded and, according to some, , the ministry of defensewas forced to swallow its pride and publicly salute the paramilitary groups courage. In a Telegram. Delivered Thursday. Now, Ukrainian service members on a BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicle near the front line city of Vuhledar on 22 February. The situation is extremely dangerous for civilians, the spokesperson said. Want to read more on this topic or region? Putin says he will stand down if NATO prohibits Ukraine from joining its alliance a demand that has been rejected. Coming up on the show, why NATO is at the center of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Is Weiss correct? Both countries have a history with the alliance as members of its Partnership for Peace program, which allows partners to "build up an individual relationship with NATO, choosing their own priorities for cooperation.". Putins Russian Critics AreGrowingEver Louder. A recent leadership meeting hinted at what Xi Jinpings intensified overhaul might look like. A 12-year-old Russian girl has been sent to an orphanage and her father beaten up and arrested by authorities after she drew an anti-war picture in an art class, according to reports. Both Finland, which has one of Europes longest borders with Russia, and Sweden dropped their decades-long policies of military non-alignment and applied to join Nato in May last year in the wake of Moscows invasion of Ukraine. Kateryna Stepanenko,a Russia analyst at the Institute for the Study of War, told. These men are driven by personal ambition, yet their views reflect recognition among Russians tasked with fighting the war about how Putins invasion has not gone according to plan. Butongoing unrest in parts of Ukraine, even before 2022, worried some NATO members such as France and Germany, two countries that previously opposed Ukraine's inclusion and kept official membership out of Ukraine's reach, despite the 2008 promise. Politics played a role, as well. Turkey's government says both Sweden and Finland are harbouring Turkish citizens who it says are "terrorists" and is demanding they be extradited. Several thousand civilians, including children, are still believed to be in the city, which is mostly cut off from humanitarian relief. Mykhailo Podolyak, an adviser to president Volodymr Zelenskiy, has denied that Ukraine mounts attacks within Russian territory. Putin is basically saying to Ukrainians (more of whom want to join the European Union than NATO): You fell in love with the wrong guy. But beyond the goals of one leader in Moscow, it is also clear that Ukraine has suffered horrors of a historic nature. Delivered Friday. Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of Russias Wagner mercenary force, has said Ukrainian forces are putting up furious resistance against Moscows attempt to seize the key stronghold of Bakhmut. Georgia has also applied for admission. In his speech on Monday, Putin literally said Ukraine has no claim to independence, but is instead an integral part of Russia its people are connected with us by blood, family ties. Which is why Putins onslaught against Ukraines freely elected government feels like the geopolitical equivalent of an honor killing. an exiled Russian businessman and opposition activist, said to FP through his press secretary Maxim Dbar. Make no mistake, our counter-offensives will be around the corner soon. 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WebNATO has played a key role in Russia's nearly nine-month assault in Ukraine, and President Vladimir Putin's unprovoked war has even pushed certain longtime non This is a time of acute uncertainty, she said. Most Americans paid scant attention to the expansion of NATO in the late 1990s and early 2000s to countries in Eastern and Central Europe like Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, all of which had been part of the former Soviet Union or its sphere of influence. New members must uphold democracy, including tolerating diversity, New members must be making progress toward a market economy, Their military forces must be under firm civilian control, They must be good neighbors and respect sovereignty outside their borders, They must be working toward compatibility with NATO forces. Step bystep, carefully andconsistently we will deal with thetasks we have athand,he said. Here are some tips. Hehas claimed credit for Russias conquest of Crimea, saying it was triggered by his 2014 attack on the Ukrainian city of Sloviansk. Russian President Vladimir Putin said Ukraine has deep historical and cultural ties to Russia, and Putin has repeatedly asserted that Russians and Ukrainians are one people. He has said that large chunks of Ukrainian territory are historical parts of Russia that were arbitrarily granted to Ukraine by communist leaders under the Soviet Union. that Prigozhin has lately felt indispensable to Putin, especially since Russian forces failure to make inroads in Ukraine and rout from previously occupied areas. "The feeling was, and probably still has been, that Ukraine hadn't completely taken care of political corruption, that it was still developing its democracy," Stanley Sloan, an expert in transatlantic relations at Middlebury College and a former international security officer, told McClatchy News. Tens of thousands of Ukrainian army fighters are putting up furious resistance. What will another year of war look like? The first log was the ill-considered decision by the U.S. in the 1990s to expand NATO after indeed, despite the collapse of the Soviet Union. Both countries used to be parts of the Soviet Union, Ukraines economy and infrastructure have been dealt blows that will take decades to recover from. You will not run off with either NATO or the E.U. And how might that be impacting the world? Ukraines president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has accused Russia of throwing waves of men into battle in Bakhmut with no regard for their lives. But America and NATO Arent Innocent Bystanders. President Vladimir Putin addressing Russia on Monday. Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, both Finland and Sweden decided they wanted to join the alliance as soon as possible, after being neutral for years. Watch the conversation or read the condensed transcript. Stay updated on the topics you care about with email alerts. In the tussle between thedefense ministry and Prigozhin, Putin at first seemed to lean toward the professionalsuntil recently, Wagner was recruiting prisoners to beef up its forcesbut ultimately Prigozhin turned out to be the winner. Leaders from both countries have brushed off Russia's warnings, with Finnish Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto saying "we've heard this before." Russia says NATO, the American-led alliance that has on its hands the biggest European crisis in decades, must never offer membership to Ukraine, which gained independence as the Soviet Union broke apart about 30 years ago. No official cause of death was given. Why doesn't Vladimir Putin want Ukraine to be part of NATO? A spokesperson for Ukraines Donetsk regional military administration told CNN today: .css-cumn2r{height:1em;width:1.5em;margin-right:3px;vertical-align:baseline;fill:#C70000;}About 4,500 civilians remain in Bakhmut. Nato Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg with Finnish Prime Minister Sanna Marin in Helsinki, At the crash site of 'no hope' - BBC reporter in Greece. Stay up to date with what you want to know. Probably, such a situation cannot but disturb and irritate both other influential figures in Putins entourage and the president himself,. theres no sense of Eastern Europeans wanting to join NATO and why they might want that. Now more than ever, players rightly see themselves as multi-faceted entrepreneurs, and seek ways to leverage their brands in everything from real estate to venture capital. WHY IS PUTIN WORRIED ABOUT UKRAINE JOINING NATO? 03 88 01 24 00, U2PPP "La Mignerau" 21320 POUILLY EN AUXOIS Tl. Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a ceremony to present the highest state awards in the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, Wednesday, Feb. 2, 2022. The only place to be for understanding this war is inside Russian President Vladimir Putins head. Relations between the United States and China seem to be getting frostier by the day. How to Geta Free Flight to Hong Kong in 500,000 Airline Ticket Giveaway, Stocks Drop for a Second Day; Yields Stay Elevated: Markets Wrap, The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales, Apple Suppliers Are Racing to Exit China, AirPods Maker Says, Microsoft Expands Game Pass as Regulators Fret Over Activision Deal. Its also true that increases over the past decade in the U.S. and NATO military presence in Eastern Europe were triggered by Russias annexation of the Crimean Peninsula and its incursion into eastern Ukraine in 2014. This seeming contradiction has never been resolved, which means that while NATOs door is open, Ukraine wont fit through anytime soon. "President Putin cannot continue to attack neighbours. But, arguably, one of the most crucial industries coming to Ukraines aid has been Washingtons powerful lobbying industry. Putin says he will stand down if NATO prohibits Ukraine from joining its alliance a demand that has been rejected. Yes, its all more complicated than that, but my point is this: This is Putins war. Putin views Ukraines ambition to leave his sphere of influence as both a strategic loss and a personal and national humiliation. Anchal Vohra. Police showed Alexei to her, informing the girl that theyre taking her father away, locking her in the apartment. What will another year of war look like? I was never just the financier of the Internet Research Agency, he said in a press service post. Finnish MPs will vote this afternoon on speeding up the Finlands Nato accession process. Join FPs Ravi Agrawal for a frank discussion about the Biden administrations China policy and alternatives that it ought to consider. Cieszynski said the attack consisted of distributed denial of service which resulted in blocking access to the website, but taxpayers data were not leaked. Video, At the crash site of 'no hope' - BBC reporter in Greece, President Volodymyr Zelensky asked for that request to be fast-tracked, it is unclear whether full membership is something the alliance members will seriously consider, Sweden and Finland are harbouring Turkish citizens who it says are "terrorists", Harry and Meghan told to 'vacate' Frogmore Cottage, Rare Jurassic-era bug found at Arkansas Walmart, China and Belarus call for peace in Ukraine, Ed Sheeran says wife developed tumour in pregnancy, Fungus case forces Jack Daniels to halt construction, Beer and wine sales in Canada fall to all-time low, Man survives 31 days in jungle by eating worms. But America and NATO are not just innocent bystanders in his evolution. Alexei Moskalev, a single father from the eastern Tula region, was charged with discrediting the military in December after his daughter, Masha, protested against the war at school and online, the independent Russian media Meduza reported on Tuesday. Those Russian actions prompted NATO to redouble its focus on collective security. They brought him to the familys apartment where Masha was at the time. Including 48 children who cannot be evacuated because they live in places that are no longer accessible. Hello everyone, its Lonie Chao-Fong taking over the live blog from Martin Belam. (Podcast). Putins demands go beyond the question of Ukraines association with NATO, but that link is central to his complaint that the West has pushed him to the limits of his patience by edging closer to Russian borders. And now we are turning our backs on the very people who mounted the greatest bloodless revolution in history to remove that Soviet regime. No official cause of death was given. Mashas teacher had instructed her class to draw pictures in support of Russias troops in Ukraine, Meduza reported. That was just before a summit in Bucharest, when NATO said that Alexander Lukashenko arrives in Beijing on Tuesday. The Kremlin responded to Podolyaks statement on Wednesday by saying it did not believe it. Six Ukrainian attack drones were shot down by air defence systems. Youre on the list! Infos Utiles In 2008, the country applied to begin a NATO Membership Action Plan and the alliance welcomed Ukraine's bid, pledging that the country would eventually become a member, though declining to offer a specific timeline. The stated reason is that a further eastward expansion of NATO would pose a security threat to Russia. Another four Ukrainian drones were disabled by electronic warfare. Acheter une piscine coque polyester pour mon jardin. On Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin had sent troops in two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine -- Donetsk and Luhansk -- after recognising them independent. A very small group of officials and policy wonks at that time, myself included, asked that same question, but we were drowned out. The teacher informed the schools director who in turn called the police, Moskalev said. NEW FOR SUBSCRIBERS: Delivered Thursday. You will not run off The collective defense agreement could be one of the reasons that Russia doesn't want Ukraine to join NATO. And right when Putin opted for domestic political reasons to become a nationalist avenger and a permanent wartime president, as Aron put it, what was waiting there for him to grasp onto was the most emotive threat to rally the Russian people behind him: The low-hanging fruit of NATO expansion.. Is the Biden administrations China policy too hawkish? Putin says NATO has gone too far not only by providing Ukraine with weaponry and military training but also by stationing forces in other Eastern European countries that compromise Russian security. At the heart of the dispute are Russian concerns about the eastward expansion of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, the security alliance founded in 1949 to protect Europe against Soviet attack during the Cold War. "Nato allies have agreed that Ukraine will become a member of our alliance, but at the same time that is a long-term perspective," Mr Stoltenberg told reporters during a visit to Finland's capital, Helsinki. This is ugly, visceral stuff. Probably, such a situation cannot but disturb and irritate both other influential figures in Putins entourage and the president himself, Mikhail Khodorkovsky,an exiled Russian businessman and opposition activist, said to FP through his press secretary Maxim Dbar. He is visiting the dead, the wounded, and acting like a politician.. The stated reason is that a further eastward expansion of NATO would pose a security threat to Russia. Gulnaz Sharafutdinova, professor of Russian politics at Kings Colleges Russia Institute, said the rise of leaders who control armed men outside state structures is threatening to the elite establishment. standing, Ukrainians are determined to keep fighting, and the West has so far stayed resolute in its support of Ukraine. Instead, he called upon Russians to prepare for the long haul. FPs Ravi Agrawal spoke with two of the very best Russia experts:Angela Stent, a nonresident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and the author ofPutins World: Russia Against the West and With the Rest, and Michael Kofman, the research program director of the Russia studies program at the Center for Naval Analyses. Having joined the State Department in 1926 and served as U.S. ambassador to Moscow in 1952, Kennan was arguably Americas greatest expert on Russia. Only Turkey and Hungary have yet to ratify the Finnish and Swedish bids to join the defensive bloc. Weekly update on developments in India and its neighbors. Putin has utterly failed to build Russia into an economic model that would actually attract its neighbors, not repel them, and inspire its most talented people to want to stay, not get in line for visas to the West. Rseau This was CNBC's live blog tracking developments on the war in Ukraine on Feb.27, 2023. He conveniently omitted important details, such as the fact that Russian forces have long been forced to retreat from Kherson and are now incurring their heaviest death toll since the onset of the war, with more than 800 soldiers dying in a week or sometimes even in a single day. Russia has said it does not want neighboring Ukraine to join NATO, the transatlantic alliance created at the start of the Cold War to protect Europe from the Soviet Union. Centrist Israelis ignored the occupation and settlements for years, but they are up in arms about judicial reforms that threaten the economyand their self-image. Subscribers can send in questions in advance. Imagine that Ukraine becomes a NATO member and launches those military operations, Putin said. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has long been vocal about his country's desire to secure both NATO membership and additional assistance. A meeting was seen as unlikely between the two men, who have not been in the same room since a G20 meeting in Bali in July when, according to western officials, the Russian foreign minister walked out. Essential analysis of the stories shaping geopolitics on the continent. I was particularly bothered by the references to Russia as a country dying to attack Western Europe. Sharafutdinova said that, while Prigozhin is not a threat to Putin at the moment, his growing prominence has caused concern in Moscow. | Step bystep, carefully andconsistently we will deal with thetasks we have athand,, The Russian elite and lawmakers present at the event clapped and nodded and gave a standing ovation when he referred to the Donetsk, Kherson, Luhansk,and Zaporizhzhia regions of Ukraine as Russian territory. Ukraine defence minister: We are in effect part of Nato, Ukraine deserves to join Nato, says new Czech leader, Europe fights to maintain solidarity in Ukraine war, Human error to blame for train crash - Greek PM, At the crash site of 'no hope' - BBC reporter in Greece. Read about our approach to external linking. Recalling that moment years later, Perry in 2016 told a conference of The Guardian newspaper: In the last few years, most of the blame can be pointed at the actions that Putin has taken. Panic and disintegration processes are building up in the Russian Federation, reflected by an increase in internal attacks on infrastructure facilities by unidentified flying objects. Aspiring nations have to meet certain political, economic, and military standards to join. [NATO expansion] was simply a lighthearted action by a Senate that has no real interest in foreign affairs. Prigozhin publicly stated thatRussian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov deliberately halted ammunition supply to Wagner mercenaries fighting in Bakhmut, a city in eastern Ukraine, and accused them of treason. NATO has played a key role in Russia's nearly nine-month assault in Ukraine, and President Vladimir Putin's unprovoked war has even pushed certain longtime non-member nations to apply to join the alliance. The president himself, administrations China policy and alternatives that it ought to consider that! 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